The conference will present and discuss the academic and practical output of the five projects CascEff, CIPRNet, FORTRESS, PREDICT and SnowBall on understanding, modelling and management of cascading effects in crises.
The two-day event is a unique opportunity for communities working in research and development of this area.
If you are interested in attending the conference, please fill in the form below until Monday, the 6th of March 2017.
Your participation will be free of charge. As the seats are limited, your application is subject of the conference organisation approval. You will receive an email to let you know that your application is complete.
Projects in a nutshell
Session 1: Understanding of cascading effects
This session is concerned with what cascading effects are and why they evolve.
Chair: Anders Lönnermark (SP Safety, SE, CascEff)
Understanding cascading effects
Jonas Johansson (Lund University, SE, CascEff)
Empirical findings on types, triggers and paths of cascading effects
Eric Luiijf (TNO, NL, CIPRNet)
Compound, interconnected, interacting, and cascading risks: a framework for analysis
David Alexander (UCL, UK, FORTRESS)
From past crises learning to the construction of the cascade timeline
Mohamed Eid (CEA, FR, PREDICT)
From past crises to theoretical concepts: the experience of SnowBall
Alizée Vanderveken (UCL, BE, SnowBall)
Presentation of project tools
Session 2: Modelling of cascading effects
The idea for this session is to address different modelling approaches, both from a technical and a social-science perspective.
Chair: Piet Sellke (Dialogik, DE, FORTRESS)
A modelling methodology for cascading effects
Anders Lönnermark (SP Safety, SE, CascEff)
A decision support system for the risk forecast of critical infrastructures
Vittorio Rosato (ENEA, IT, CIPRNet)
The FORTRESS modelling approach
Marcos Sacristán Cepeda (Treelogic, SP, FORTRESS)
The PREDICT cascading effects modelling approach
Maciej Szulejewski (ITTI, PL, PREDICT)
The SnowBall theoretical model for cascading effects simulation
Giulio Zuccaro (Universita di Napoli, IT, SnowBall)
World Café (interactive sessions)
Possible topics suggested by the five projects are:
1. Challenges and issues related to the uptake of projects’ results by end-users
2. Engaging with the community of crisis management practitioners: challenges, best practices and lessons learnt
3. Hurdles and supporting actions for sharing data
4. Technical issues when it comes to access data and share information across different boundaries
5. The consideration of cascading effects during a crisis situation at a strategic level (decision makers) and at a tactical level
6. Understanding and modelling behavioural aspects in cascading effects
7. The role of social media in cascading effects
8. Facilitating cross-border communication in crisis management
9. Collaboration between social-scientists, technicians and practitioners
Session 3: Acting on cascading effects during crisis
Here, we want to deal with inter-organisational cooperation and information exchange with regard to the mitigation of cascading effects.
Chair: Giulio Zuccaro (LUPT, IT, SnowBall)
Human/organisational interactions and different approaches to support joint decision-making
Staffan Bram (SP Safety, SE, CascEff)
Acting on cascading effects during crisis management
Carole Duval & Yves Dien (Electricité de France, FR, FORTRESS)
An information management platform to support inter-organisational cooperation in large-scale crisis situations
Patrick De Oude (Thales NL, NL, PREDICT)
Social network analyses to increase preparedness in the context of crises characterized by cascading effects
Louis Jallet (INEO, FR, SnowBall)
Session 4: Implementation of results and tools into practice
In this last area, we will focus on problems and opportunities of implementing the developed tools pre-, during and post-crisis, both regarding crisis management and policies.
Chair: Martin De Maupeou (CEIS, FR, PREDICT)
Which strategy for a successful implementation of the IET and the other results of CascEff project?
Abla Mimi Edjossan-Sossou (University of Lorraine, FR, CascEff)
Raising awareness for CI and cascading effects in crisis situations – What-If Analysis and CI simulation for crisis management training
Erich Rome (Fraunhofer IAIS, DE, CIPRNet)
Implementation of FORTRESS results and tools into practice
Massimo Migliorini (SiTI, IT, FORTRESS)
Assessment of the PREDICT achievements based on test cases with end-users
Kees van Dongen (TNO, NL, PREDICT)
Application of SnowBall models and tools for cascading effects preparedness
Katja Faist (Fraunhofer, DE, SnowBall)
Presentation of project tools
Wrap-up of World-Café tables: presentation and discussion of results in the plenum