2017. March, 16th - 17th. Brussels, Belgium

Cascading Effects Conference

Understanding, modelling and managing cascading effects in crises.

Joint conference of projects funded by the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme: CascEff, CIPRNet, FORTRESS, PREDICT and SnowBall.

2017. March, 16th - 17th. Brussels, Belgium

Cascading Effects Conference

Understanding, modelling and managing cascading effects in crises.

Joint conference of projects funded by the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme: CascEff, CIPRNet, FORTRESS, PREDICT and SnowBall.

The conference will present and discuss the academic and practical output of the five projects CascEff, CIPRNet, FORTRESS, PREDICT and SnowBall on understanding, modelling and management of cascading effects in crises.

The two-day event is a unique opportunity for communities working in research and development of this area.

If you are interested in attending the conference, please fill in the form below until Monday, the 6th of March 2017.

Your participation will be free of charge. As the seats are limited, your application is subject of the conference organisation approval. You will receive an email to let you know that your application is complete.

Location

Rue Félix Hap 11

1040 Brussels

Belgium

Agenda

Print/download the conference agenda

2017. March, 16th

  • 13.30 – 13.35

    Welcome

  • 13.35 – 14.00

    Projects in a nutshell

  • 14.00 – 15.30

    Session 1: Understanding of cascading effects

    This session is concerned with what cascading effects are and why they evolve.

    Chair: Anders Lönnermark (SP Safety, SE, CascEff)

    Understanding cascading effects
    Jonas Johansson (Lund University, SE, CascEff)

    Empirical findings on types, triggers and paths of cascading effects
    Eric Luiijf (TNO, NL, CIPRNet)

    Compound, interconnected, interacting, and cascading risks: a framework for analysis
    David Alexander (UCL, UK, FORTRESS)

    From past crises learning to the construction of the cascade timeline
    Mohamed Eid (CEA, FR, PREDICT)

    From past crises to theoretical concepts: the experience of SnowBall
    Alizée Vanderveken (UCL, BE, SnowBall)

  • 15.30 – 16.00

    Coffee break

    Presentation of project tools

  • 16.00 – 17.30

    Session 2: Modelling of cascading effects

    The idea for this session is to address different modelling approaches, both from a technical and a social-science perspective.

    Chair: Piet Sellke (Dialogik, DE, FORTRESS)

    A modelling methodology for cascading effects
    Anders Lönnermark (SP Safety, SE, CascEff)

    A decision support system for the risk forecast of critical infrastructures
    Vittorio Rosato (ENEA, IT, CIPRNet)

    The FORTRESS modelling approach
    Marcos Sacristán Cepeda (Treelogic, SP, FORTRESS)

    The PREDICT cascading effects modelling approach
    Maciej Szulejewski (ITTI, PL, PREDICT)

    The SnowBall theoretical model for cascading effects simulation
    Giulio Zuccaro (Universita di Napoli, IT, SnowBall)

  • 19.30

    Dinner

2017. March, 17th

  • 09.00 – 10.30

    World Café (interactive sessions)

    Possible topics suggested by the five projects are:

    1. Challenges and issues related to the uptake of projects’ results by end-users

    2. Engaging with the community of crisis management practitioners: challenges, best practices and lessons learnt

    3. Hurdles and supporting actions for sharing data

    4. Technical issues when it comes to access data and share information across different boundaries

    5. The consideration of cascading effects during a crisis situation at a strategic level (decision makers) and at a tactical level

    6. Understanding and modelling behavioural aspects in cascading effects

    7. The role of social media in cascading effects

    8. Facilitating cross-border communication in crisis management

    9. Collaboration between social-scientists, technicians and practitioners

  • 10.40 – 12.10

    Session 3: Acting on cascading effects during crisis

    Here, we want to deal with inter-organisational cooperation and information exchange with regard to the mitigation of cascading effects.

    Chair: Giulio Zuccaro (LUPT, IT, SnowBall)

    Human/organisational interactions and different approaches to support joint decision-making
    Staffan Bram (SP Safety, SE, CascEff)

    Acting on cascading effects during crisis management
    Carole Duval & Yves Dien (Electricité de France, FR, FORTRESS)

    An information management platform to support inter-organisational cooperation in large-scale crisis situations
    Patrick De Oude (Thales NL, NL, PREDICT)

    Social network analyses to increase preparedness in the context of crises characterized by cascading effects
    Louis Jallet (INEO, FR, SnowBall)

  • 12.10 – 13.30

    Lunch

  • 13.30 – 15.00

    Session 4: Implementation of results and tools into practice

    In this last area, we will focus on problems and opportunities of implementing the developed tools pre-, during and post-crisis, both regarding crisis management and policies.

    Chair: Martin De Maupeou (CEIS, FR, PREDICT)

    Which strategy for a successful implementation of the IET and the other results of CascEff project?
    Abla Mimi Edjossan-Sossou (University of Lorraine, FR, CascEff)

    Raising awareness for CI and cascading effects in crisis situations – What-If Analysis and CI simulation for crisis management training
    Erich Rome (Fraunhofer IAIS, DE, CIPRNet)

    Implementation of FORTRESS results and tools into practice
    Massimo Migliorini (SiTI, IT, FORTRESS)

    Assessment of the PREDICT achievements based on test cases with end-users
    Kees van Dongen (TNO, NL, PREDICT)

    Application of SnowBall models and tools for cascading effects preparedness
    Katja Faist (Fraunhofer, DE, SnowBall)

  • 15.00 – 15.15

    Coffee break

    Presentation of project tools

  • 15:15 – 16:30

    Wrap-up of World-Café tables: presentation and discussion of results in the plenum

Funded by the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme